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Netflix Stock (NFLX) Maintains Bullish Tempo Despite Nosebleed Valuation

TipRanks

5 min read

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Netflix (NFLX) stock has been trading above the 50-week moving average in price for about a year and a half, but that can’t deter the market. Investors recognize that this is one of the most durable stocks, driven by an addictive flywheel of growth in recurring revenue. As TipRanks data shows, NFLX has consistently grown paid memberships since 2020—a remarkable feat, considering the global competition it faces.

This is a company that has evolved from a DVD rental disruptor into a global streaming leader, now backed by financials driven by ad-tier growth, an AI-powered studio, and a powerful live content strategy. The only element that’s not to love is the valuation, but sometimes the best investments thrive despite that predicament, so I’m staying bullish on NFLX stock.

Netflix has established itself as a truly global enterprise, now available in over 190 countries. It continues to demonstrate strong user engagement, holding a 7.5% share of U.S. television viewership. Its pricing strength is evident in its average revenue per user of $17.20 per month in North America and Canada.

While the company faces competitive pressures from short-form video platforms such as TikTok and YouTube, as well as saturation in mature markets, these challenges are consistent with the realities of being a market leader. In any thriving sector, competitors will inevitably seek to gain ground, but well-established organizations like Netflix have consistently demonstrated resilience and adaptability in maintaining their leadership positions.

Netflix’s growth performance remains impressive. For example, its forward diluted earnings per share are projected to grow by 37%, significantly outpacing the sector average of 10%. Although this is reflected in its forward non-GAAP price-to-earnings ratio of 49—versus 13 for the sector—this valuation appears proportionate when considering the company’s earnings growth rate, which is 3.7 times higher than the sector’s, effectively aligning with its relative valuation multiple.

Financially, Netflix is on solid footing. The company has reduced its net debt to approximately $7.9 billion, highlighting the success of its self-sustaining content investment strategy. With expected free cash flow of around $8 billion in fiscal year 2025, management has been able to allocate substantial resources to shareholder returns, including $3.5 billion in share repurchases as of Q1.