Jim Wyckoff
2 min read
August lean hog futures (HEQ25) present a buying opportunity on more price strength.
See on the daily bar chart for August lean hog futures that prices are trending higher and have just recently hit a contract high. See, too, at the bottom of the chart that the shorter-term moving averages I follow (9-day and 18-day) are in a bullish posture as the red 9-day is above the green 18-day and both lines are trending up. The hog market bulls have the solid near-term technical advantage to suggest still more price upside in the near term.
Fundamentally, historically high beef prices at the meat counter are likely driving more substitution demand for less-expensive pork cuts. Peak outdoor grilling season is also occurring at present, which is also driving better demand for pork.
A move in August lean hog futures above chart resistance at the contract high of $113.375 would become a buying opportunity. The upside price objective would be $125.00, or above. Technical support, for which to place a protective sell stop just below, is located at $108.00.
IMPORTANT NOTE: I am not a futures broker and do not manage any trading accounts other than my own personal account. It is my goal to point out to you potential trading opportunities. However, it is up to you to: (1) decide when and if you want to initiate any trades and (2) determine the size of any trades you may initiate. Any trades I discuss are hypothetical in nature.
Here is what the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has said about futures trading (and I agree 100%):
Trading commodity futures and options is not for everyone. IT IS A VOLATILE, COMPLEX AND RISKY BUSINESS. Before you invest any money in futures or options contracts, you should consider your financial experience, goals and financial resources, and know how much you can afford to lose above and beyond your initial payment to a broker. You should understand commodity futures and options contracts and your obligations in entering into those contracts. You should understand your exposure to risk and other aspects of trading by thoroughly reviewing the risk disclosure documents your broker is required to give you.
On the date of publication, Jim Wyckoff did not have (either directly or indirectly) positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data in this article is solely for informational purposes. This article was originally published on Barchart.com
