Lee Samaha, The Motley Fool
3 min read
In This Article:
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Despite near-term challenges, the market is feeling optimistic about MP Materials' long-term growth prospects.
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It's a speculative stock, as a relatively small number of people will make the key decisions guiding its future.
Very few companies demonstrate the complexity of the current trade conflict and the strategic necessity of securing rare earth materials for the U.S. more effectively than MP Materials (NYSE: MP), and its share price action this week, up 21.8% at the time of writing, underscores this point.
Management describes the company as being "America's rare earth magnetics champion," as it is "America's only fully integrated rare earth producer." However, as fellow Fool.com writer Rich Smith notes, Shenghe Resources (a majority-owned subsidiary of China's Shenghe Resources Holding Company) was a major customer of MP Materials, and the company that MP Materials "sells the vast majority of its rare earth concentrate" to, according to its SEC filings.
Moreover, in mid-April, MP Materials said it had "ceased shipments of rare earth concentrate to China" due to China's tariffs and the issue of selling critical materials not being "aligned with America's national interest." As such, the trade conflict is a near-term negative for MP Materials.
That said, and as management consistently argues, the company's real growth opportunity lies in being part of the U.S. developing its own rare earth supply chain. It's a point reiterated by CEO James Litinsky on a recent earnings call: "What is now abundantly clear is that the United States must urgently accelerate its full-scale domestic rare earth magnetic supply chain."
As such, when speculation rises that the administration is working to secure funding for the company, the stock is likely to perform well, as it did this week.
It's an interesting situation, but with so much uncertainty surrounding the company's direction, it's challenging to argue that retail investors have any kind of advantage in investing in the stock.
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