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Stock market today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq futures rise as momentum builds for Trump trade deals, tax bill

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US stocks climbed on Monday amid signs of progress in trade talks, setting up the major gauges for more all-time highs to end one of the most volatile first halves of a year in recent memory.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) rose roughly 0.5%. The S&P 500 (^GSPC) moved up about 0.3%, while the tech-heavy The Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) jumped about 0.4%.

Stocks started a holiday-shortened week with fresh records in sight, as hopes rise that the US and its top trading partners are closing in on deals over the sweeping tariffs introduced by President Trump.

Canada scrapped a digital services tax targeting US tech companies late on Sunday — just hours before it was set to start collecting payments — in a bid to revive stalled trade negotiations. On Friday, Trump called an abrupt halt to the talks over the tax, describing them as a "blatant attack" on the US.

Despite a temporary turn lower, all three major indexes closed higher on Friday. The S&P 500 (^GSPC) and the Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) clinched new record highs for the first time since February — the start of the year's tariff-fueled stock swings.

The easing in odds of a global trade war comes as a July 9 deadline looms for the resumption of sweeping US "reciprocal" tariffs, which Trump on Sunday said he didn't think he'd need to extend. So far, his administration has hammered only two accords — not full-blown agreements — with China and the UK, as the British tariff deal went into effect on Monday.

Trump tariffs: Read the latest here

Meanwhile, market watchers are closely following Senate negotiations over Trump’s proposed $4.5 trillion tax cut bill, as Republican leaders race to persuade party holdouts to back the legislation. The Congressional Budget Office estimates it would add $3.3 trillion to the deficit over a decade, as it stands. The Senate is set to vote on dozens of amendments in a marathon session on Monday.

Looking ahead, the June jobs report on Thursday will be a highlight, as markets increasingly grow optimistic that the Federal Reserve could cut interest rates soon. But the week's trading will be cut short, as markets will close at 1 p.m. on Thursday and remain shut on Friday for the Fourth of July holiday.

LIVE 13 updates

  • Laura Bratton

    Oracle stock surges after disclosing 'multiple large cloud services agreements,' set to notch new intraday high

    Oracle stock soared more than 7% and was set to start the trading session at a new intraday high after the software giant disclosed in a filing to the Securities and Exchange Commission that it had signed new cloud services agreements.

    “Oracle is off to a strong start in FY26," CEO Safra Catz will tell other Oracle colleagues later today, according to the filing. "Our MultiCloud database revenue continues to grow at over 100%, and we signed multiple large cloud services agreements including one that is expected to contribute more than $30 billion in annual revenue starting in FY28."

    In its fiscal year 2025, which ended May 31, Oracle's revenue was $57.4 billion. The company partnered with OpenAI (OPAI.PVT) and SoftBank (SFTBY) to launch the highly publicized $500 billion Stargate project, building AI data centers earlier this year, but the project has stalled.

  • Solar stocks mixed on surprise Senate renewables tax

    Solar stocks fluctuated in premarket trading Monday after it emerged that the Senate's draft version of the tax and spending bill, which slashes wind and solar tax credits, also now contains a tax on wind and solar projects completed after 2027 that use components from China.

    The tax on renewable projects came as a surprise to the industry, which largely relies on China to source components from batteries to solar panels. A statement from the American Clean Power Association said the effect would be to "strand hundreds of billions of dollars in current investments."

    The latest provision comes after solar stocks were hit two weeks ago when lawmakers moved to phase out tax breaks for the industry sooner than expected.

    Shares of NextEra Energy (NEE) dropped 4% while Enphase Energy (ENPH) stock fell 2.6%. The Invesco Solar ETF (TAN) declined 1.5%.

    However, there were some bright spots for certain renewable stocks. US-based First Solar (FSLR) rose 7%, while GE Vernova (GEV), which offers wind technologies, added 1.1%. And Sunrun (RUN) gained 7% while SolarEdge Technologies (SEDG) advanced 0.5% due to a short-term extension of residential solar tax credits.

    Read more here.

  • Trump-fueled bitcoin mania leaves most of crypto in the dust

    Several altcoins are faltering this year as bitcoin's share of the crypto market has climbed to 64%, the highest level since January 2021.

    Bloomberg reports:

    Read more here.

  • INmune Bio stock crashes 60% after Alzheimer's drug falls short in study

    INmune Bio stock (INMB) tanked 60% in premarket trading on Monday after the company said its experimental drug, XPro, failed to improve cognitive functions in patients with early stages of Alzheimer's in a mid-stage study.

    The drug is designed to target and inhibit inflammatory signals associated with a type of protein called tumor necrosis factor without suppressing the immune system, Reuters reported.

    Read more here.

  • Disney stock rises after Jefferies upgrade

    Disney stock (DIS) rose about 2% in premarket trading Monday after Jefferies analyst James Heaney upgraded the stock. Heaney sees Disney's cruise business, content slate, and parks business fueling a rally in shares over the summer.

    Yahoo Finance's Brian Sozzi writes:

    Read more here.

  • ‘Fog in the data’: Soaring stocks face lingering uncertainty in second half

    Yahoo Finance's Allie Canal reports:

    Read more here.

  • Jenny McCall

    Good morning. Here's what's happening today.

  • A crucial jobs report meets a stock market at all-time highs

    Yahoo Finance's Josh Schafer lays out what investors should know about the week ahead:

    Read more here.

  • Jenny McCall

    Trending tickers: HPE, Palantir and Juniper

    Here are some top stocks trending on Yahoo Finance in premarket trading:

    Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company (HPE) stock rose 6% in premarket trading on Monday following the news that HPE and Juniper Networks have reached an agreement with the US Department of Justice that it will not challenge HPE's acquisition of Juniper.

    Palantir (PLTR) stock rose 5% before the bell and are trading at an all-time high, up 90% this year. Yahoo Finance Anchor Julie Hyman recently broke down the stock's history on a episode of Market Domination Overtime:

    Juniper Networks, Inc. (JNPR) stock rose 8% premarket after the DOJ said it would not pursue an investigation into HPE's acquisition of Juniper.

  • Jenny McCall

    Goldman: US profit margins face key risk from tariffs

    As earning season approaches, Goldman Sachs (GS) said on Monday that US profit margins will be tested as investors await to see how President Trump's war has hurt companies.

    Goldman's David Kostin said Q2 earnings will show the immediate impact of tariffs, which have risen about 10% this year. Most costs will be passed on to consumers, but margins will suffer if firms absorb more than expected.

    Early results are mixed: General Mills (GIS) stock fell 5% last week due to a weak forecast and tariff warning, while Nike (NKE) rose 15% after announcing it will offset higher duties.

    Bloomberg News reports:

    Read more here.

  • European markets are becoming increasingly difficult to ignore

    European stocks outperformed their US peers by the biggest margin on record in dollar terms during the first half. It's a dramatic sign of how the region’s markets are staging a comeback after more than a decade in the doldrums.

    Bloomberg reports:

    Read more here.

  • Jenny McCall

    Canada scraps tax targeting US techs to revive trade talks

    Canada has scrapped its planned digital services tax on US tech firms late on Sunday, just hours before it was due to come into effect.

    The move aims to revive stalled trade talks with the US, which President Trump suddenly halted on Friday over the tax, calling it a "blatant attack" on American tech companies.

    US stock futures rose as investors welcomed the news. Benchmark stock indexes in Tokyo and Shanghai also moved higher amid optimism that the US and its top trading partners can hammer out trade deals.

    Prime Minister Mark Carney and Trump now plan to reach a deal by July 21, Canada's finance ministry said.

    Trump warned on Friday that he would set new tariffs on Canadian goods within a week, risking fresh tension between the two countries.

    The White House has set a July 9 deadline for trading partners to broker deals with the US over the sweeping 'reciprocal' tariff rates announced in early April.

    The 3% tech tax would have hit firms like Apple (AAPL), Google (GOOG), and Amazon (AMZN) starting on Monday. Canada will now bring forward legislation to cancel the tax.

    "The DST was announced in 2020 to address the fact that many large technology companies operating in Canada may not otherwise pay tax on revenues generated from Canadians," a statement from the Canadian finance ministry said. "Canada’s preference has always been a multilateral agreement related to digital services taxation."

  • Oil falls with OPEC+ set to increase production

    Oil prices fell overnight Sunday as global markets adjusted to the easing of tensions in the Middle East, in combination with a commitment from OPEC+ to increase supply in August.

    Reuters reports:

    Read more here.