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PACCAR Inc (PCAR): A Bull Case Theory

Ricardo Pillai

2 min read

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We came across a bullish thesis on PACCAR Inc (PCAR) on Substack by Serhio MaxDividends and Max Dividends. In this article, we will summarize the bulls’ thesis on PCAR. PACCAR Inc (PCAR)'s share was trading at $95.97 as of May 15th. PCAR’s trailing and forward P/E were 14.56 and 14.20 respectively according to Yahoo Finance.

PACCAR Inc (PCAR) stands out as a global leader in premium commercial truck manufacturing through its iconic brands—Kenworth, Peterbilt, and DAF. With over a century of innovation since its founding in 1905, PACCAR has evolved into the world’s third-largest heavy-duty truck producer, trailing only Daimler and Volvo. Its business model extends beyond manufacturing to include proprietary diesel engines, robust aftermarket parts (21% of revenue), and financial services, creating diversified, high-margin revenue streams. PACCAR’s consistent financial performance is a major draw for investors, with $31.6 billion in 2024 revenue and $4.16 billion in net income, underpinned by a disciplined capital allocation strategy.

The company boasts an 82-year streak of uninterrupted dividends, enhanced by special payouts during upcycles like the $3.20 special dividend in 2023. Its 2.1% dividend yield and 7.5% CAGR over the past decade reflect both stability and growth, supported by a conservative payout ratio and a cash-rich balance sheet. Technological leadership is a cornerstone of PACCAR’s long-term strategy, evidenced by its $3.1 billion R&D budget and investments in electric and hydrogen-powered trucks through collaborations with partners like Toyota. For another angle on the freight and trucking landscape PACCAR helps power, take a look at Heartland Express.

Meanwhile, geographic expansion, especially in Europe, South America, and Asia-Pacific, positions the company to benefit from global freight growth. With digital platforms like PACCAR Connect enhancing customer loyalty and creating new revenue streams, the company is well-positioned to outpace the industry’s average growth. Its strong fundamentals, shareholder-friendly policies, and innovation-driven roadmap make PACCAR a compelling blue-chip investment with a unique blend of income reliability and capital appreciation potential.

PACCAR Inc (PCAR) is not on our list of the 30 Most Popular Stocks Among Hedge Funds. As per our database, 39 hedge fund portfolios held PCAR at the end of the fourth quarter which was 30 in the previous quarter. While we acknowledge the risk and potential of PCAR as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that some AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns, and doing so within a shorter timeframe. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than PCAR but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.